Have we finally reached the point that we've all been waiting for? Do we finally see the light at the end of the tunnel?
It is quite possible that we are nearing the end of the long tragic journey of America: COVID Edition based on some recent developments.
If you have been keeping up with the number of people new infections from COVID-19 that occur each day then you probably already know that the number is trending downwards at a fairly quick pace.
This is phenomenal news because we are all wanting to get back to living our lives normally once again. But how soon will this be? Well, that's the question that is on everyone's mind.
According to Dr. Marty Makary who is a professor at the Johns Hopkins we may be back to living our normal lives within just the next few months! Here is what Dr. Makary had to say:
“There is reason to think the country is racing toward an extremely low level of infection. As more people have been infected, most of whom have mild or no symptoms, there are fewer Americans left to be infected. At the current trajectory, I expect Covid will be mostly gone by April, allowing Americans to resume normal life.”
“In large part because natural immunity from prior infection is far more common than can be measured by testing. Testing has been capturing only from 10% to 25% of infections, depending on when during the pandemic someone got the virus. Applying a time-weighted case capture average of 1 in 6.5 to the cumulative 28 million confirmed cases would mean about 55% of Americans have natural immunity,” he writes.
“Now add people getting vaccinated. As of this week, 15% of Americans have received the vaccine, and the figure is rising fast. Former Food and Drug Commissioner Scott Gottlieb estimates 250 million doses will have been delivered to some 150 million people by the end of March.”
So here's the gist of it:
We have seen cases drop by 77% in the last month and a half.
55% of Americans have natural immunity.
15% of Americans have been vaccinated.
That puts us at 70% right now. Give it another couple months and they're expecting 150 million Americans to have been fully vaccinated. That's nearly half of the country. So when you figure it all together you're looking at numbers that would qualify as "herd immunity".